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The rise of remote and flexible work is reshaping the commercial landscape, challenging the traditional office model. With more employees working remotely, demand for traditional office space has decreased, leading to increased vacancies.
In response, shared workspaces have surged in popularity, offering flexible arrangements and amenities for remote workers and small businesses. Moreover, as foot traffic diminishes in commercial districts, retail spaces are pivoting towards experiential offerings to attract customers.
Below, a veteran property professional takes a look at how this shift underscores a broader trend towards adaptive reuse of commercial properties, emphasizing flexibility, community, and experience over traditional office layouts and retail formats.
Caption: COMMERCIAL EVOLUTION: As companies reassess their office needs and employees seek greater flexibility, the landscape of workspaces, communities, and retail experiences is undergoing a profound transformation
THE HYBRID WORK REVOLUTION IS TRANSFORMING THE COMMERCIAL LANDSCAPE AND WORKING COMMUNITIES
The global pandemic accelerated the emerging adoption of remote work and flexi hours, ushering in a new era of hybrid work models that are reshaping not only the workplace and traditional office model, but also where we live, shop, and socialise.
“As companies reassess their office needs and employees seek greater flexibility, the landscape of workspaces, communities, and retail experiences is undergoing a profound transformation,” Says Cobus Odendaal, CEO of Lew Geffen Sotheby’s International Realty in Johannesburg and Randburg.
“According to recent research conducted in nine US cities, it’s anticipated that the demand for office space in 2030 could be 13% lower than pre-pandemic projections and, as a result, real estate values in this sector are expected to decline significantly, with estimates ranging from 26 to 42%, depending on numerous factors, including location.
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“Moreover, the rise of remote work is expected to drive demand for alternative workspace solutions, such as coworking spaces and flexible office arrangements. These shared workspaces offer cost-effective options for companies looking to provide employees with access to amenities and networking opportunities without the commitment of a long-term lease.
“Individuals and small teams are renting ‘hot desks’ within shared working spaces as they offer flexibility, enabling them to work when and where you want.”
Odendaal says a similar scenario is expected in South Africa, with one of the key implications of this shift being a potential oversupply of office space in urban centres, particularly in major cities like Johannesburg, Cape Town, and Durban.
“With fewer employees commuting to centralised office locations on a daily basis, companies are reassessing their office needs and downsize their footprint, leading to vacancies and downward pressure on rental prices.
“Hybrid working is also spurring decentralisation with many businesses already having moved their offices to smaller commercial hubs nearer to residential areas and, in many urban cores, where office buildings once thrived, there is already a growing surplus of vacant space.
“This presents both challenges and opportunities for repurposing these structures into mixed-use developments that combine office space with residential, retail, and recreational amenities.”
Conversely, suburban and rural areas are experiencing a resurgence as remote workers seek out larger homes with dedicated home offices and access to green spaces.
“This trend is fuelling demand for housing in suburban communities and driving up property values in previously overlooked areas. In Johannesburg, there is growing demand for homes in secure lifestyle estates on the outskirts of suburbia; ones which offer a country lifestyle whilst still in close proximity to amenities like schools,” says Odendaal.
Moreover, the shift to hybrid work models is transforming the way we shop and socialise.
“With fewer people commuting to centralised office locations, the demand for traditional retail space in these centres is waning. Instead, retail is becoming more experiential, focusing on fostering community experiences and providing unique offerings that cannot be replicated online.
“Smaller community shopping centres are still thriving, but local businesses are now reimagining their storefronts as gathering places for where customers can attend events and connect with their communities.
“Pop-up markets, food halls, and outdoor dining spaces are becoming staples of urban and suburban landscapes, revitalising neighbourhoods and creating vibrant hubs of activity.”
Odendaal says that the rise of remote work is also beginning to blur the lines between work and leisure, prompting the development of coworking spaces that cater to both professional and social needs.
“These flexible workspaces offer amenities such as coffee bars, lounges, and networking events, fostering collaboration and camaraderie among remote workers.
As the hybrid work model becomes the new norm, it is imperative that stakeholders across industries adapt to these seismic shifts in the way we work, live, shop, and socialise.
“Urban planners, developers, and policymakers must work together to repurpose existing infrastructure, revitalise urban centres, and create sustainable communities that meet the evolving needs of residents and businesses alike.
“The hybrid work revolution is driving innovation and transformation across multiple sectors and by embracing these changes and fostering collaboration, we can build more resilient, inclusive, and dynamic places to work, live, shop, and socialize in the years to come,” concludes Odendaal.